ROCKET ASSESSOR
Firefly Alpha Block 2 | ConnectedCosmos Launch 2: launch weather verdict
Will ConnectedCosmos Launch 2 launch on time?
Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.
Watch it liveEmbeddable widget
Launch details
| Vehicle | Firefly Alpha Block 2 |
|---|---|
| Launch provider | Firefly Aerospace |
| Launch time (NET) | Thu, 31 Dec 2026 00:00:00 UTC |
| Launch site | Space Launch Complex 2W, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA |
| Orbit | PO |
| Official status | To Be Determined |
What is the ConnectedCosmos Launch 2 mission?
Second of at least four missions carrying 6 satellites for Open Cosmos' secure LEO broadband constellation, designed to provide independent and resilient connectivity infrastructure for Europe and the world using high-priority Ka-band spectrum filings by the Principality of Liechtenstein.
How is this verdict calculated?
The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.
Other upcoming launches from Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
- Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare) · 2026-10-01 · GO
- SDA Tranche 1 Transport Layer A · 2026-10-05
- Starlink Group 15-25 · 2026-10-10
- SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E · 2026-12-31
- SDA Tranche 1 Tracking Layer A · 2026-12-31