ROCKET ASSESSOR

Launches › Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare) · Verdict computed Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:50:18 UTC for the forecast hour 2026-10-01T18:00 UTC

Falcon 9 Block 5 | Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare): launch weather verdict

Will Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare) launch on time?

GO Rocket Assessor's independent verdict for Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare) is GO (82/100): weather looks favourable for launch at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA. The main factor is heavy cloud cover.

Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

VehicleFalcon 9 Block 5
Launch providerSpaceX
Launch time (NET)Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:18:00 UTC
Launch siteSpace Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
OrbitSSO
Official statusGo for Launch

What is the Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare) mission?

Dedicated rideshare flight to a sun-synchronous orbit with dozens of small microsatellites and nanosatellites for commercial and government customers.

What is the forecast at the pad?

Sustained wind5 kn
Gusts5 kn
Cloud cover100%
Chance of precipitation0%
Thunderstorm energy (CAPE)0 J/kg
Temperature18 °C

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.

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