ROCKET ASSESSOR
Falcon 9 Block 5 | Starlink Group 15-25: launch weather verdict
Will Starlink Group 15-25 launch on time?
A weather verdict for Starlink Group 15-25 is available. The public verdict appears here 72 hours before launch, when the forecast is reliable enough to act on. Mission Control members ($5/month) see the early outlook now and get an alert if it changes.
Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.
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Launch details
| Vehicle | Falcon 9 Block 5 |
|---|---|
| Launch provider | SpaceX |
| Launch time (NET) | Sat, 10 Oct 2026 23:00:00 UTC |
| Launch site | Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA |
| Orbit | LEO |
| Official status | Go for Launch |
What is the Starlink Group 15-25 mission?
A batch of 27 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation - SpaceX's project for space-based Internet communication system.
How is this verdict calculated?
The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.
Other upcoming launches from Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
- Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare) · 2026-10-01 · GO
- SDA Tranche 1 Transport Layer A · 2026-10-05
- SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E · 2026-12-31
- SDA Tranche 1 Tracking Layer A · 2026-12-31
- SDA Tranche 1 Tracking Layer C · 2026-12-31