Updated Thu, 01 Oct 2026 17:50:07 UTC · refreshed every 10 minutes

Upcoming rocket launches and weather verdicts

Every scheduled orbital launch on Earth, with an independent weather verdict for its launch pad: GO, CAUTION or NO-GO.

What is the next rocket launch, and will the weather allow it?

The next launch is Crew-13 on a Falcon 9 Block 5 from Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA, scheduled for Thu, 01 Oct 2026 15:10:06 UTC. Rocket Assessor's independent verdict for Crew-13 is GO (82/100): weather looks favourable for launch at Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA. The main factor is heavy cloud cover.

Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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All upcoming launches (40)

Verdicts are public for launches in the next 72 hours. The public verdict appears here 72 hours before launch, when the forecast is reliable enough to act on.

Date (UTC)	Mission	Launch site	Weather verdict
2026-10-01	Crew-13 Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	GO 82/100
2026-10-01	Transporter 18 (Dedicated SSO Rideshare) Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	GO 100/100
2026-10-02	NROL-97 Falcon Heavy · SpaceX	Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA	GO 82/100
2026-10-05	SDA Tranche 1 Transport Layer A Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	Members
2026-10-07	NeonSat-2 to 6 KSLV-2 Nuri · Korea Aerospace Research Institute	Naro Space Center, South Korea	Members
2026-10-09	Unknown Payload Long March 12 · China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation	Wenchang Space Launch Site, People's Republic of China	Members
2026-10-10	Starlink Group 15-25 Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	Members
2026-10-13	IRNSS-1L (NVS-03) GSLV Mk. II · Indian Space Research Organization	Satish Dhawan Space Centre, India	Members
2026-10-19	Martian Moon eXplorer (MMX) H3-24 · Mitsubishi Heavy Industries	Tanegashima Space Center, Japan	PENDING
2026-10-31	Amazon Leo (LE-04) Ariane 64 Block 2 · Arianespace	Guiana Space Centre, French Guiana	PENDING
2026-10-31	Bandwagon 5 (Dedicated Mid-Inclination Rideshare) Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-10-31	Dragon CRS-2 SpX-35 Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-10-31	Flight 2 Long March 12A · China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation	Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, People's Republic of China	PENDING
2026-10-31	AayulSAT-1A & others SSLV · Indian Space Research Organization	Satish Dhawan Space Centre, India	PENDING
2026-10-31	Amazon Leo (LV-01) Vulcan VC6L · United Launch Alliance	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-11-24	Progress MS-36 (97P) Soyuz 2.1b · Russian Federal Space Agency (ROSCOSMOS)	Baikonur Cosmodrome, Republic of Kazakhstan	PENDING
2026-11-30	Metop-SG B1 Ariane 62 · Arianespace	Guiana Space Centre, French Guiana	PENDING
2026-11-30	InnoSat-0 HANBIT-Nano · Innospace	Alcântara Space Center, Federative Republic of Brazil	PENDING
2026-11-30	Gaganyaan-1 Launch Vehicle Mark-3 (GSLV Mk III) · Indian Space Research Organization	Satish Dhawan Space Centre, India	PENDING
2026-11-30	TDS-01 PSLV XL · Indian Space Research Organization	Satish Dhawan Space Centre, India	PENDING
2026-12-31	Starliner-1 Atlas V N22 · United Launch Alliance	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	Cygnus CRS-2 NG-25 Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer D Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	Telesat Lightspeed 1 Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	Griffin Mission One Falcon Heavy · SpaceX	Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	GSAT-32 (GSAT-N3) Launch Vehicle Mark-3 (GSLV Mk III) · Indian Space Research Organization	Satish Dhawan Space Centre, India	PENDING
2026-12-31	Galileo L15 (FOC FM28 & FM31) Ariane 62 · Arianespace	Guiana Space Centre, French Guiana	PENDING
2026-12-31	CHORUS Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	Inmarsat-7 F1 (GX-7) Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	SDA Tranche 1 Tracking Layer A Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	SDA Tranche 1 Tracking Layer C Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	SDA Tranche 1 Tracking Layer E Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	SDA Tranche 1 Transport Layer D Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	SDA Tranche 1 Transport Layer F Falcon 9 Block 5 · SpaceX	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	ConnectedCosmos Launch 1 Firefly Alpha Block 2 · Firefly Aerospace	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	ConnectedCosmos Launch 2 Firefly Alpha Block 2 · Firefly Aerospace	Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA	PENDING
2026-12-31	1 x Pelican satellite Spectrum · Isar Aerospace	Andøya Spaceport	PENDING
2026-12-31	ΣYNDEO-3 Spectrum · Isar Aerospace	Andøya Spaceport	PENDING
2026-12-31	Flight 15 Starship V3 · SpaceX	SpaceX Starbase, TX, USA	PENDING

How is the weather verdict calculated?

Each launch starts at 100 points and loses points for weather at the pad at the launch hour, using the Open-Meteo forecast: sustained wind (18 kn and up), gusts (40 kn and up), cloud cover (60% and up), chance of precipitation (30% and up) and thunderstorm energy (CAPE of 1,000 J/kg and up). 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. Launches more than 16 days out show PENDING until a forecast exists.

Is this the official go/no-go?

No. Rocket Assessor is independent and not affiliated with any launch provider or range. Official launch commit criteria are vehicle-specific and not public; this is an indicative weather assessment you can check against the public accuracy record.