ROCKET ASSESSOR

Launches › SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E · Verdict computed Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:40:08 UTC

Falcon 9 Block 5 | SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E: launch weather verdict

Will SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E launch on time?

PENDING No weather verdict yet for SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E: beyond 16-day forecast horizon. Forecasts become available about 16 days before launch.

Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

VehicleFalcon 9 Block 5
Launch providerSpaceX
Launch time (NET)Thu, 31 Dec 2026 00:00:00 UTC
Launch siteSpace Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
OrbitPO
Official statusTo Be Determined

What is the SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E mission?

Classified mission launched by the Space Development Agency (SDA) for Tranche 2 Transport Layer.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.

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