ROCKET ASSESSOR

Launches › ConnectedCosmos Launch 1 · Verdict computed Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:50:18 UTC

Firefly Alpha Block 2 | ConnectedCosmos Launch 1: launch weather verdict

Will ConnectedCosmos Launch 1 launch on time?

PENDING No weather verdict yet for ConnectedCosmos Launch 1: beyond 16-day forecast horizon. Forecasts become available about 16 days before launch.

Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

VehicleFirefly Alpha Block 2
Launch providerFirefly Aerospace
Launch time (NET)Thu, 31 Dec 2026 00:00:00 UTC
Launch siteSpace Launch Complex 2W, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
OrbitPO
Official statusTo Be Determined

What is the ConnectedCosmos Launch 1 mission?

First of at least four missions carrying 6 satellites for Open Cosmos' secure LEO broadband constellation, designed to provide independent and resilient connectivity infrastructure for Europe and the world using high-priority Ka-band spectrum filings by the Principality of Liechtenstein.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.

Other upcoming launches from Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA