ROCKET ASSESSOR
Falcon 9 Block 5 | NROL-195: launch weather verdict
Will NROL-195 launch on time?
Track record: across 73 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 66% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.
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Launch details
| Vehicle | Falcon 9 Block 5 |
|---|---|
| Launch provider | SpaceX |
| Launch time (NET) | Thu, 05 Nov 2026 22:34:00 UTC |
| Launch site | Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA |
| Orbit | LEO |
| Official status | To Be Confirmed |
What is the NROL-195 mission?
Fifteenth batch of satellites for a reconnaissance satellite constellation built by SpaceX and Northrop Grumman for the National Reconnaissance Office to provide imaging and other reconnaissance capabilities.
How is this verdict calculated?
The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.
Other upcoming launches from Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
- Starlink Group 15-15 · 2026-10-20 · GO
- Starlink Group 15-16 · 2026-10-24
- Starlink Group 15-18 · 2026-10-28
- Starlink Group 15-21 · 2026-11-10
- SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer E · 2026-12-31