ROCKET ASSESSOR

Launches › BlueBird 14-16 (Block 2 #9-11) · Verdict computed Thu, 15 Oct 2026 15:21:36 UTC

Falcon 9 Block 5 | BlueBird 14-16 (Block 2 #9-11): launch weather verdict

Will BlueBird 14-16 (Block 2 #9-11) launch on time?

PENDING No weather verdict yet for BlueBird 14-16 (Block 2 #9-11): beyond 16-day forecast horizon. Forecasts become available about 16 days before launch.

Track record: across 69 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

VehicleFalcon 9 Block 5
Launch providerSpaceX
Launch time (NET)Thu, 31 Dec 2026 00:00:00 UTC
Launch siteSpace Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA
OrbitLEO
Official statusTo Be Determined

What is the BlueBird 14-16 (Block 2 #9-11) mission?

AST SpaceMobile’s Block 2 BlueBird satellites are designed to deliver up to 10 times the bandwidth capacity of the BlueBird Block 1 satellites, required to achieve 24/7 continuous cellular broadband service coverage in the United States, with beams designed to support a capacity of up to 40 MHz, enabling peak data transmission speeds up to 120 Mbps, supporting voice, full data and video applications. The Block 2 BlueBirds, featuring as large as 2400 square foot communications arrays, will be the largest satellites ever commercially deployed in Low Earth orbit once launched. This launch will feature 3 satellites.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.

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