ROCKET ASSESSOR

Launches › Dream Chaser CRS 2 Flight 1 · Verdict computed Fri, 02 Oct 2026 08:10:17 UTC

Vulcan VC4L | Dream Chaser CRS 2 Flight 1: launch weather verdict

Will Dream Chaser CRS 2 Flight 1 launch on time?

PENDING No weather verdict yet for Dream Chaser CRS 2 Flight 1: beyond 16-day forecast horizon. Forecasts become available about 16 days before launch.

Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

VehicleVulcan VC4L
Launch providerUnited Launch Alliance
Launch time (NET)Thu, 31 Dec 2026 00:00:00 UTC
Launch siteSpace Launch Complex 41, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA
OrbitLEO
Official statusTo Be Determined

What is the Dream Chaser CRS 2 Flight 1 mission?

First flight of the Dream Chaser Spaceplane, on a free-flying mission in Low Earth Orbit.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.

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