ROCKET ASSESSOR

Launches › Starliner-1 · Verdict computed Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:50:18 UTC

Atlas V N22 | Starliner-1: launch weather verdict

Will Starliner-1 launch on time?

PENDING No weather verdict yet for Starliner-1: no forecast available for this pad. Forecasts become available about 16 days before launch.

Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

VehicleAtlas V N22
Launch providerUnited Launch Alliance
Launch time (NET)Thu, 31 Dec 2026 00:00:00 UTC
Launch siteSpace Launch Complex 41, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA
OrbitLEO
Official statusTo Be Determined

What is the Starliner-1 mission?

Starliner-1 is the first operational flight of a Starliner spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Due to problems with the Starliner spacecraft's RCS attitude control system during the Crew Flight Test mission in 2024, this mission has been re-scoped to not carry a crew by NASA. It will instead deliver necessary cargo to the orbital laboratory and allow in-flight validation of the system upgrades implemented following the Crew Flight Test mission last year.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.

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