ROCKET ASSESSOR

Launches › Crew-13 · Verdict computed Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:50:18 UTC for the forecast hour 2026-10-01T15:00 UTC

Falcon 9 Block 5 | Crew-13: launch weather verdict

Will Crew-13 launch on time?

GO Rocket Assessor's independent verdict for Crew-13 is GO (82/100): weather looks favourable for launch at Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA. The main factor is heavy cloud cover.

Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

VehicleFalcon 9 Block 5
Launch providerSpaceX
Launch time (NET)Thu, 01 Oct 2026 15:10:06 UTC
Launch siteSpace Launch Complex 40, Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA
OrbitLEO
Official statusLaunch in Flight
Provider-published weather probability60%

What is the Crew-13 mission?

SpaceX Crew-13 is the thirteenth crewed operational flight of a Crew Dragon spacecraft to the International Space Station as part of NASA's Commercial Crew Program.

What is the forecast at the pad?

Sustained wind8 kn
Gusts14 kn
Cloud cover100%
Chance of precipitation24%
Thunderstorm energy (CAPE)680 J/kg
Temperature26 °C

Provider-listed weather concerns: Cumulus Cloud Rule, Flight Through Precipitation, Thick Cloud Layers Rule.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.

Other upcoming launches from Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA