ROCKET ASSESSOR

Launches › USSF-xxx ("TH-2") · Verdict computed Tue, 06 Oct 2026 03:20:17 UTC for the forecast hour 2026-10-16T00:00 UTC

Falcon 9 Block 5 | USSF-xxx ("TH-2"): launch weather verdict

Will USSF-xxx ("TH-2") launch on time?

A weather verdict for USSF-xxx ("TH-2") is available. The public verdict appears here 72 hours before launch, when the forecast is reliable enough to act on. Mission Control members ($5/month) see the early outlook now and get an alert if it changes.

Track record: across 64 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 66% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

VehicleFalcon 9 Block 5
Launch providerSpaceX
Launch time (NET)Thu, 15 Oct 2026 23:44:00 UTC
Launch siteSpace Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA
OrbitPO
Official statusTo Be Confirmed

What is the USSF-xxx ("TH-2") mission?

Classified mission for the United States Space Force. It is possibly a batch of classified LEO satellites based on SpaceX’s Starshield satellite bus, based on locations of ascent rocket stage drop zones being fits with previous SDA Transport Layer launches.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.

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