Track record: across 79 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 66% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.
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| Vehicle | Falcon 9 Block 5 |
|---|---|
| Launch provider | SpaceX |
| Launch time (NET) | Mon, 02 Nov 2026 01:56:00 UTC |
| Launch site | Space Launch Complex 4E, Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA |
| Orbit | LEO |
| Official status | Go for Launch |
A classified mission for the United States Space Force. It is possibly a batch of classified LEO satellites based on SpaceX’s Starshield satellite bus, based on locations of rocket stage drop zones being exact fits with previous Starlink Group 15 launches.
The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Vandenberg SFB, CA, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.