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Go Caution No-Go

Will it launch? Independent weather verdicts for every rocket launch

ALL SIGNAL · ZERO NOISE

Flightradar24 for rocket launches, with an honest weather go/no-go for every pad. Rocket Assessor tracks every scheduled orbital launch on Earth and gives each one an independent weather verdict for its launch pad: GO, CAUTION or NO-GO, with a 0–100 score and the reasons. It refreshes every 10 minutes and is not affiliated with any launch provider or range.

See every upcoming launch and its verdict →

Run launch tours, a viewing site or a newsroom? See Rocket Assessor for launch tourism and for newsrooms.

Get the verdict before the next big launch

One email when a major launch (Starship, crewed flights, Falcon Heavy) gets its weather verdict, and when it changes. Free.

How is the GO / CAUTION / NO-GO verdict calculated?

Each launch starts at 100 points and loses points for the forecast at the pad at the launch hour:

FactorStarts costing points atLargest deduction
Sustained wind18 knots−45 at 35 knots and above
Gusts40 knots−15
Cloud cover60%−18 at 85% and above
Chance of precipitation30%−25 at 60% and above
Thunderstorm energy (CAPE)1,000 J/kg−30 at 2,000 J/kg and above

75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. Launches more than 16 days away show PENDING until a forecast exists. Schedule data comes from Launch Library 2; forecasts from Open-Meteo.

How accurate is Rocket Assessor?

Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch and scored against what actually happened. As of 19 October 2026, 71 launches had resolved and 36 of 54 directional verdicts (GO or NO-GO) matched the outcome (67%). The full record, including every miss, the calibration curve and the Brier score, is on the accuracy page.

Last updated: 19 October 2026

See it in 30 seconds

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Advertisement. This commercial is for advertising purposes only. The launches, verdicts and figures in it are a data snapshot from 1 October 2026 and are not current; for today’s verdicts see the live tracker. Independent launch-weather assessments. Indicative only — not official launch commit criteria.

Is this the official launch go/no-go?

No. Official launch commit criteria are specific to each vehicle and range and are not public. Rocket Assessor is an independent, indicative weather assessment. Use it to judge the odds; rely on the provider for the final call.

Is it free?

Yes. The live map and the next-launch verdict are free. Mission Control ($5/month or $45/year) adds full verdicts and reasons for every launch, filters, a watchlist, alerts and calendar sync. The Developer API is $19/month.

Can I put the verdict on my website or broadcast?

Yes. A one-line embed shows the live verdict on any page, free with attribution. Licences for newsrooms and broadcasters and for launch-viewing tours, hotels and viewing sites add data feeds, alerts and branding.

Who makes Rocket Assessor?

Rocket Assessor is an independent product built in Edmonton, Canada. Questions and data requests: support@rocketassessor.com.

Verdict changes and launch-day updates are posted on X, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook.