ROCKET ASSESSOR
Starship | Flight 15: launch weather verdict
Will Flight 15 launch on time?
PENDING No weather verdict yet for Flight 15: no forecast available for this pad. Forecasts become available about 16 days before launch.
Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.
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Launch details
| Vehicle | Starship V3 |
|---|---|
| Launch provider | SpaceX |
| Launch time (NET) | Thu, 31 Dec 2026 00:00:00 UTC |
| Launch site | Orbital Launch Pad 2, SpaceX Starbase, TX, USA |
| Orbit | LEO |
| Official status | To Be Determined |
What is the Flight 15 mission?
15th test flight of the two-stage Starship launch vehicle and 4th flight of Starship V3.
How is this verdict calculated?
The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at SpaceX Starbase, TX, USA at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.