Launches › Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) · Verdict computed Sat, 10 Oct 2026 11:00:43 UTC for the forecast hour 2026-10-19T20:00 UTC

H3-24 | Martian Moons eXploration (MMX): launch weather verdict

Will Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) launch on time?

A weather verdict for Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) is available. The public verdict appears here 72 hours before launch, when the forecast is reliable enough to act on. Mission Control members ($5/month) see the early outlook now and get an alert if it changes.

Track record: across 65 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

Vehicle	H3-24
Launch provider	Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Launch time (NET)	Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:41:03 UTC
Launch site	Yoshinobu Launch Complex LP-2, Tanegashima Space Center, Japan
Orbit	Mars
Official status	Go for Launch

What is the Martian Moons eXploration (MMX) mission?

MMX is a Japanese scientific mission to land on Phobos, one of the two moons of Mars, to collect samples before bringing them back to Earth. The mission includes a small French/German rover to explore the surface of Phobos.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Tanegashima Space Center, Japan at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.