Launches › Martian Moon eXplorer (MMX) · Verdict computed Thu, 01 Oct 2026 18:50:18 UTC

H3-24 | Martian Moon eXplorer (MMX): launch weather verdict

Will Martian Moon eXplorer (MMX) launch on time?

PENDING No weather verdict yet for Martian Moon eXplorer (MMX): no forecast available for this pad. Forecasts become available about 16 days before launch.

Track record: across 60 resolved launches, directional verdicts (GO / NO-GO) matched the outcome 67% of the time. Every verdict is frozen 24 hours before launch, and the full record, including the misses, is at rocketassessor.com/accuracy.

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Launch details

Vehicle	H3-24
Launch provider	Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Launch time (NET)	Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:41:03 UTC
Launch site	Yoshinobu Launch Complex LP-2, Tanegashima Space Center, Japan
Orbit	Mars
Official status	Go for Launch

What is the Martian Moon eXplorer (MMX) mission?

MMX is a Japanese scientific mission to land on Phobos, one of the two moons of Mars, to collect samples before bringing them back to Earth. The mission includes a small French/German rover to explore the surface of Phobos.

How is this verdict calculated?

The launch starts at 100 points and loses points for sustained wind, gusts, cloud cover, chance of precipitation and thunderstorm energy at Tanegashima Space Center, Japan at the launch hour. 75–100 is GO, 50–74 is CAUTION, below 50 is NO-GO. This is an independent, indicative assessment, not the provider's official launch commit criteria.